Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 399.579183 454.831668 516.531365 590.826320 678.240258 778.282090 902.098033
2025-09-14 310.224976 379.874797 464.817064 577.143803 723.439223 909.826210 1169.007496
2025-09-21 266.289664 341.610441 438.844382 575.652449 766.571834 1028.754319 1425.340466
2025-09-28 227.187925 301.819731 402.408264 550.874056 769.623582 1088.665812 1605.863694
2025-10-05 211.816637 290.831867 401.781062 573.276901 839.778797 1252.558700 1970.762273
2025-10-12 200.600414 283.695279 404.769413 599.999970 918.793869 1441.506800 2415.461740
2025-10-19 185.603109 269.005513 394.340834 603.802624 960.680488 1575.619584 2793.409374
2025-10-26 168.802330 249.679394 374.388125 589.173856 968.610088 1651.066250 3076.978652
2025-11-02 155.372126 234.179626 358.640741 579.145732 982.294046 1737.899743 3401.526391
2025-11-09 148.726720 228.730292 358.379679 595.244889 1044.959364 1927.413352 3989.103039
2025-11-16 139.309473 217.857300 347.908211 591.719082 1069.686240 2045.307755 4446.101836
2025-11-23 130.140722 206.594076 335.648446 583.329235 1083.348323 2141.990716 4877.593670
2025-11-30 123.349632 199.022502 329.475587 586.360622 1122.090428 2303.746817 5531.943759
2025-12-07 114.921212 187.974096 316.166285 574.176733 1127.463611 2391.982728 6020.304140
2025-12-14 108.818844 180.517230 308.664887 572.526253 1155.180540 2538.043364 6721.767305
2025-12-21 100.284907 168.069969 290.854668 547.927306 1128.002421 2544.043172 7003.285402
2025-12-28 98.364288 167.494787 295.359627 570.184095 1211.947843 2850.866810 8360.088394
2026-01-04 96.996933 167.808771 301.553191 596.734707 1310.587932 3220.719324 10100.001041
2026-01-11 93.176289 163.195061 297.613487 600.512614 1353.607626 3445.566501 11416.424192
2026-01-18 87.752855 155.137326 286.111357 585.978733 1347.624625 3525.850730 12203.440232
2026-01-25 83.206391 148.494623 276.998418 576.015388 1352.314082 3640.351823 13191.508167
2026-02-01 81.451651 147.217050 278.868922 592.010444 1429.652415 4003.311430 15475.390029
2026-02-08 78.032161 142.390984 272.886749 588.507482 1452.366961 4193.561204 17062.188655